Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.191883 0.229834 0.270513 0.317063 0.368571 0.423545 0.486380
2025-02-23 0.134382 0.183840 0.241172 0.311316 0.393634 0.486073 0.596622
2025-03-02 0.089595 0.142056 0.208130 0.294448 0.401378 0.526882 0.682728
2025-03-09 0.065600 0.120210 0.194526 0.297292 0.430362 0.592038 0.798558
2025-03-16 0.044907 0.097414 0.175254 0.289379 0.443679 0.637316 0.891097
2025-03-23 0.035312 0.088614 0.173367 0.303320 0.484660 0.717494 1.028092
2025-03-30 0.025085 0.075508 0.162599 0.302940 0.505467 0.771724 1.133321
2025-04-06 0.017780 0.065107 0.153976 0.304067 0.527367 0.827116 1.240539
2025-04-13 0.013182 0.058464 0.150248 0.311658 0.557940 0.894161 1.363628
2025-04-20 0.009945 0.053545 0.148559 0.321808 0.592018 0.966234 1.494174
2025-04-27 0.007284 0.048719 0.146086 0.330091 0.623174 1.034589 1.620606
2025-05-04 0.004622 0.041869 0.138252 0.328414 0.638829 1.081364 1.718581
2025-05-11 0.003060 0.037632 0.135252 0.335049 0.667869 1.148324 1.846173
2025-05-18 0.001651 0.031963 0.127834 0.333036 0.683139 1.195944 1.948234
2025-05-25 0.000545 0.024489 0.114007 0.317627 0.676062 1.210904 2.005410
2025-06-01 0.000224 0.021550 0.110860 0.321925 0.700573 1.271835 2.126701
2025-06-08 0.000029 0.017149 0.102197 0.314337 0.704878 1.302850 2.206440
2025-06-15 0.000007 0.016519 0.104699 0.329498 0.747571 1.391370 2.367853
2025-06-22 NaN 0.013939 0.100102 0.329359 0.764113 1.440904 2.474682
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011868 0.096427 0.330702 0.783001 1.494053 2.587050
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010759 0.095904 0.338810 0.813738 1.565500 2.726146
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010018 0.096593 0.349582 0.849296 1.644639 2.876854
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009152 0.096444 0.358355 0.881431 1.718865 3.021126